Showing posts with label Sunrise. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sunrise. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 8, 2010

UEMLand & Sunrise Deal



« Reply #5 on: November 16, 2010, 07:49:53 PM »
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I read the latest The Edge and The Star on UEMLand merge with Sunrise.

As a small long term investor, buying UEMLand share is better than Sunrise. They r controlling shareholder of the merger.  If you plan to buy Sunrise with option 1,  buy Sunrise and convert into 1.33 UEMLand shares at Rm2.80, the price to pay is high in terms of money and time because the initial deal is already undervalued.  The price that UEMLand offer to pay to Sunrise is P/E 7.3x, way below than other property developers.  Investors of UEMLand are benefited from acquiring a cheap company.

Unless you r die hard fan of Datuk Tong, an economist tycoon.  Buying Sunrise with option 2, converting all your Sunrise shares for 2.8 times UEMLand Redeemable Convertible Preference Shares should sounds meaningful.  Because Sunrise will own 28% of the Rm7.9 billion UEMLand shares at today market value which is 2.1 billion RM, compared to its current 1.3 billion Sunrise shares at Rm2.80, which is a 60% increase in value.  However you are NOT able to sell your shares in the open market.  Correct me if I am wrong.

Tuesday, December 7, 2010

IJMLand+MRCB mega merge deal


« Reply #137 on: November 25, 2010, 01:00:20 AM »
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U MEAN IJMLAND IS OF BETTER FAVOUR THAN UEMLAND & SUNRISE?  UEMLAND NOW IS UNDERVALUE NOW, DO U THINK IT WILL FLY LIKE IJMLAND.  THANK YOU FOR SHARING.

From my analysis, I would say NO to your questions.
1. UEMLand is not undervalued based on PE ratio.
2. UEMLand will not fly like IJMLand.  IJMLand will fly from RM2.80 to Rm3.65 or perhaps higher .

On top of your questions,
3. SUNRISE shares will drop to around Rm2.00 as shareholder call for early exit.
4. UEMLand will be stay above RM 2.00 based on acquire cheap Sunrise, high net gearing, near to zero EPS
5. The first giant is overvalued by 20%.  The money would flow to property giants like Newco and Sunway.

I rate UEMLand/Sunrise 1+1 = 1.5, IJMLand/MRCB 1+1 = 3.5

From current company profiles,
UEMLand has ROE 8.19,   EPS 0.007 to 0.05, and PE 38.39, Net Gearing 62% (Feb 2009 ), Market Capital 8.0bil
Sunrise has    ROE 11.81, EPS  0.26 to 0.33, PE 10.03, Net Gearing 39% (Nov 2010), Market Capital 1.3bil

IJMLand has ROE 7.75, EPS 0.09 to 0.11 , PE 27.45, Net Gearing 21% (Nov 2010), Market Capital 3.5bil
MRCB has     ROE 3.94, EPS -0.02 to 0.035, PE 59.54, Net Gearing 62% (Nov 2010), Market Capital 2.8bil

ROE, EPS and PE, Market Capital retrieved from Bursa, and Net Gearing taken from Malaysia Finance BlogSpot.